Backdrop is an interesting idea. Will a major publishing company publish a book about it?
This question will be decided as "no" if the book is digital or print-on-demand.
Major companies are currently defined as O'Reilly, Apress, Packt, Wiley, Prentice Hall (but may be revised to include similar publishers).
Outcome:
No books are printed, or only digital books or print-on-demand: 66.7%. Bet $1 to win $0.5
A book is printed by one of the major publishers or a similar one: 33.3%. Bet $1 to win $2
Closing date:
Friday, January 1, 2016 - 00:00
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I see https://www.amazon.com
I see https://www.amazon.com/Beginning-Backdrop-CMS-Todd-Tomlinson/dp/1484219694 got published in 2016, but I don't think anything was published in 2015.